AFC Championship
New England Patriots (14-4) at Indianapolis Colts (14-4)
Sunday, 6:30 pm Eastern
CBS
SBG Global Opening Line: Colts - 3

Two outstanding quarterbacks match-up on Sunday in the AFC Championship game as Peyton Manning and the Colts host Tom Brady and the Patriots. Manning has been the better regular season quarterback but Brady has been flawless in the postseason. The good news for the Colts is that they get the Patriots in the RCA Dome. Early betting from SBG Global shows that the gambling public has little faith in Brady’s flawlessness, with most money taking the Colt’s minus the points.

Twice in the last three years New England has ended Indianapolis' season. New England had won six straight and 10 of 12 against the Colts. Many people believe that this is the season that the Colts end the Patriots run. The pressure is on Peyton Manning but this could be his year. "I think it's the same thing at stake for him as there is for all of us," head coach Tony Dungy said. "We've got a group that hasn't been to the Super Bowl. They'd like to get there. We're one step away. Everyone in the locker room wants to do that and Peyton's no different. It's not make-or-break for them and it's not make-or-break for him. We'd just like to get there and do it."

The Patriots may have the past reputation for greatness but most people believe they are lucky to still be alive. The Chargers had them in their sights last week only to blow it in the last few minutes. The Patriots are 12-1 in the playoffs with Brady and Belichick. Brady has been superb through the years although he did throw three interceptions last week and has looked less than stellar at times. He does have an 8-1 road record in the playoffs though. "There's no quarterback I'd rather have," Belichick said. "Nobody's going to play a perfect game." One player the Patriots don’t have that was huge in their past playoff success is kicker Adam Vinatieri. He now kicks for the Colts and scored all of their points in last week’s win against the Ravens kicking five field goals. "When he walks out there, you always feel like he's not going to miss," said Colts coach Tony Dungy. He's never missed in the RCA Dome, going 15-for-15 this season and 26-for-26 in his career.

Indianapolis is a 3 point favorite with a total of 47.5 at SBG Global.

Indianapolis is a perfect 9-0 at home this season but they are facing the history of having to defeat the Patriots. New England is 5-0 in AFC championship games since the merger in 1970. The Colts are 0-3 in title games since 1970.

The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in January. The Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Indianapolis. The Underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings between the two teams.

The Colts are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Colts are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3 points or less.

The Under is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 playoff games as an underdog. The Over is 9-3 in the Patriots last 12 games as a road underdog. The Under is 7-3 in the Patriots last 10 games in January. The Under is 5-0 in the Colts last 5 games in January. The Under is 10-4 in the Colts last 14 games as a home favorite.

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